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Could Jaguar become an EV-only brand?

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Just yesterday we wrote about the Heisenbergian uncertainty surrounding the future of the

Jaguar F-Type

. A new report in

Autocar

prompts us to consider extending that ambiguity to the entire

Jaguar

brand. The UK magazine reports the automaker’s product planners have devised a 10-year plan to switch to a pure

EV

lineup of cars and

crossovers

. According to

Autocar

‘s sources, this is a planning exercise and doesn’t have the green light, but it’s “fairly advanced” and has adherents inside the company.

The first shot fired would be an all-electric

XJ

replacement. That sedan, a “no-holds-barred

luxury car

” to challenge the

Tesla Model S

and

Porsche Taycan

, would provide emissions-free motoring before the

Mercedes-Benz S-Class

and

BMW 7 Series

come along with their EV propositions. Around 2023, an EV crossover a touch larger than the full-sized

Audi E-Tron

would replace both the

XF

and

XE

sedans. Two years later, a new midsized

I-Pace

would debut as both the

F-Pace

and

E-Pace

fade out. And two years after that, around 2027, the J-Pace luxury crossover would sigh its last ICE gasp.

And what about the F-Type? The report says “with no replacement for F-Type in the works,” an electric

sports car

“is also a possibility.” There’s no mention of the

XK

revival.

Right now,

Jaguar

sells seven models — four cars and three crossovers. As the

Autocar

article’s written, come 2027 Jaguar would have an electric

XJ

sedan, a full-sized EV crossover, the I-Pace, and perhaps an electric sports car. That’s a brave new world — one we’re not sure Jaguar

dealers

could survive in.

Problem is that Jaguar and its dealers are having plenty of problems now. Chinese-market volatility, the cloud around

diesels

, and Brexit uncertainty have contributed to a sales slump so dire that Jaguar’s

Castle Bromwich plant is going to a three-day workweek

for the rest of the year. The sales flu has spread to

Land Rover

, too, the brand’s

Solihull plant closing for two weeks

to realign dealer inventory. Considering all that, and with no easy relief in sight, the product planners are apparently debating whether a new, traditional three-model sedan range is worth the investment.

The upside of going all-electric is said to be higher sales, with internal estimates supposing 300,000 units annually. Last year Jaguar sold 178,500 units. The marque could rake in larger profit margins on those sales, too, thanks to premium buyers being ready to shell out big ducats for EVs. Perhaps best of all, an all-EV Jaguar range would dramatically reduce JLR’s average corporate

fuel economy

, potentially eliminating the engineering and design contortions

Land Rover

faces in order to maintain Land Rover brand values and adhere to regulations. Autocar says the off-road brand could draw the line at 48V

hybrid

systems if Jaguar sold only

electric cars

.

The idea of Jaguar — birthplace of legendary V6 and V12 engines that powered legendary cars — becoming the first mainstream OEM to go EV-only seems too wild to consider, but we could say that about a lot of automotive industry news right now. So we’ll just lay this here as a marker we can return to in 10 years and have a pint and a laugh, or a cry, about.

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